Papers
Papers
Peer-reviewed work on vegetation monitoring, remote sensing, biome dynamics, fire ecology, and machine learning for biodiversity. The full list is also on Google Scholar.
2026
01 paperAdvancing Mediterranean biodiversity monitoring in South Africa through machine learning and cost-effective UAS imagery
JGR Biogeosciences (in press)
2025
04 papersGlobal extent and change in human modification of terrestrial ecosystems from 1990 to 2022
Scientific Data
The Biodiversity Survey of the Cape (BioSCape), integrating remote sensing with biodiversity science
npj Biodiversity
Domain adaptive temporal convolutional neural networks for continuous change detection in the Albany Thicket biome
IGARSS 2025, IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium
2024
01 paperUncertainty quantification for probabilistic machine learning in earth observation using conformal prediction
Scientific Reports
2023
01 paperRegional ecological forecasting across scales: a manifesto for a biodiversity hotspot
Methods in Ecology and Evolution
2022
05 papersForecasting vegetation dynamics in an open ecosystem by integrating deep learning and environmental variables
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
Drowning in data, thirsty for information and starved for understanding: a biodiversity information hub for cooperative environmental monitoring in South Africa
Biological Conservation
Africa, in Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (IPCC AR6, Working Group II)
Cambridge University Press
2021
03 papersLocating and dating land cover change events in the Renosterveld, a critically endangered shrubland ecosystem
Remote Sensing
Propagating uncertainty from catchment experiments to estimates of streamflow reduction by invasive alien plants in southwestern South Africa
Hydrological Processes
2020
03 papersNear-real time forecasting and change detection for an open ecosystem with complex natural dynamics
ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing
African biomes are most sensitive to changes in CO2 under recent and near-future CO2 conditions
Biogeosciences
Altered ignition catchments threaten a hyperdiverse fire-dependent ecosystem
Global Change Biology
2018 & earlier
16 papersBiological and geophysical feedbacks with fire in the Earth System
Environmental Research Letters
Allometric equations for integrating remote sensing imagery into forest monitoring programmes
Global Change Biology
The future distribution of the savannah biome: model-based and biogeographic contingency
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B
Revising the biome concept for understanding and predicting global change impacts
Journal of Biogeography
Maintenance of species integrity in the context of a recent radiation: the case of Jamesbrittenia in southern Africa
Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society
An operational framework for biome boundary research with examples from South Africa
South African Journal of Botany
Understanding global change impacts on South African biomes using Dynamic Vegetation Models
South African Journal of Botany
Intercontinental divergence in the climate envelope of major plant biomes
Global Ecology and Biogeography
Paleoscape model of coastal South Africa during modern human origins: progress in scaling and coupling climate, vegetation, and agent-based models on XSEDE
Proceedings of the 2015 XSEDE Conference
Contrasting architecture of key African and Australian savanna tree taxa drives intercontinental structural divergence
Global Ecology and Biogeography
Increasing atmospheric CO2 overrides the historical legacy of multiple stable biome states in Africa
New Phytologist
Modelling direct and indirect impacts of browser consumption on woody plant growth: moving beyond biomass
Oikos
Which traits determine shifts in the abundance of tree species in a fire-prone savanna?
Journal of Ecology
Stem mortality of Acacia nigrescens induced by the synergistic effects of elephants and fire in Kruger National Park, South Africa
Journal of Tropical Ecology